Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 02:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 20 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 12 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 15 at 8:09PM CDT until May 15 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA
Urban PEI: 24,649 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 9, 2026 · score 34 · 15.2 km
- July 2, 2026 · score 34 · 21.3 km
How we know
5 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.90/1 |
| Coordinates | 42.4938, -94.1252 |
| Nearest City | Fort Dodge (4 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 24.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-16T01:09:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c1231ad7bceaeaae992599a5faac5c7 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-16T01:09:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-05-16T01:14:12.247Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cerro Gordo, IA; Franklin, IA; Hancock, IA; Wright, IA; Ida, IA; Sac, IA and 6 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 15 at 8:09PM CDT until May 15 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA |
| Expires | 2026-05-15T21:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Des Moines IA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 10 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c1231ad7bceaeaae992599a5faac5c701e8b7c9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.13731da607b0ae4fccba970c51e82caa55b457a2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cde7d46aa790c1ebec4d4cd99a973edde1e4e0de.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c87f691d7556ace571758a4719b1480c72d6c06c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.282777f2a720edd018ac961a7200520728933155.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.00eaf3d3d4b651baf163a73f5a0436f4039a83bc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e8a6aca2884f73abb49ef26400f0dcbea41c89e0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7eaef2840cbac6893f9a7310cd68cf05f995acee.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ca0686b42f230fceacfcde6e849aee3e4c9fe19.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.93e018f89595ae4253f7c4d201cce7c058ad424d.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | H |
| Iem Magnitude | 1 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 2 WNW Meservey |
| Iem County | Hancock |
| Iem State | IA |
| Iem Wfo | DMX |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_H_42.740_-94.680_1778890860000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778890860000,"latitude":42.74,"longitude":-94.68},{"id":"iem_H_42.930_-93.790_1778890920000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778890920000,"latitude":42.93,"longitude":-93.79},{"id":"iem_H_42.600_-95.000_1778888580000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778888580000,"latitude":42.6,"longitude":-95},{"id":"iem_H_42.920_-93.500_1778893380000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778893380000,"latitude":42.92,"longitude":-93.5}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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